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    Russian invasion of Ukraine: Day 626

    Kitkat
    Kitkat

    Russian invasion of Ukraine: Day 626 Empty Russian invasion of Ukraine: Day 626

    Post by Kitkat Sat 11 Nov 2023, 16:48

    Summary for Saturday, 11th November 2023 - DAY 626



    Key developments over the past 24 hours:

    • Two loud explosions have been heard in Kyiv, local media has reported, with the mayor, Vitali Klitschko, urging residents to stay in their shelters.  Air defences were targeting ballistic missiles near the capital, Klitschko wrote on Telegram, adding that several emergency calls had been made but that no victims had so far been found.

    • Russian forces are fighting to surround the war-battered frontline town of Avdiivka and capture a strategically located factory nearby, a Ukrainian military spokesperson said. Oleksandr Shtupun said Ukrainian forces were repelling Russian assaults on the large chemical plant and that the facility was under their control.

    • A military analyst, Serhiy Zgurets, writing on the website of Espreso TV, said Russian forces sought to exploit Ukraine’s focus on Avdiivka by attempting to retake areas they had lost near Bakhmut to the north-east. Russian forces seized Bakhmut in May, but Ukrainian troops have since retaken nearby villages.

    • Russia’s military said its forces had thwarted a Ukrainian attempt to forge a bridgehead on the eastern bank of the Dnipro River and on nearby islands in the Kherson region of southern Ukraine, killing about 500 Ukrainian soldiers in the past week. “On 9 November, personnel from a motorised rifle company in the Russian military grouping ‘Dnipro’ under the command of Senior LieutenantLt Zolto Arsalanov destroyed servicemen from a unit of Ukraine’s 36th Marine Infantry brigade as they were trying to gain a foothold on the left bank of the Dnipro River,” the defence ministry statement said. The claim could not be independently verified.

    • A European Union plan to spend up to €20bn ($21.4bn) on military aid for Ukraine is meeting resistance from EU countries and may not survive in its current form, diplomats have said, according to Reuters. Josep Borrell, the EU’s foreign policy chief, proposed in July that the bloc create a fund with up to €5bn a year over four years as part of broader western security commitments to bolster Ukraine. But as EU defence ministers prepare to discuss the plan in Brussels on Tuesday, diplomats say multiple countries – including EU heavyweight Germany – have voiced reservations about committing such large sums years in advance.

    • Hungary’s prime minister said he did not support moving forward on negotiations on Ukraine’s future membership of the EU, signalling again that his country could pose a major roadblock to Kyiv’s ambitions to join the bloc, which must decide unanimously on the admittance of new countries. “The clear Hungarian position is that the negotiations must not begin,” Viktor Orbán said.

    • Ukrainian and Russian officials said they had agreed to send a Ukrainian teenager, who was taken to Russia during the war last year, back to his home country, in accordance with his wishes. Bohdan Yermokhin, a 17-year-old whose parents died years ago, would be reunited with a cousin “in a third country” on his 18th birthday later this month, with a view to then return to Ukraine, the Russian children’s rights ombudswoman, Maria Lvova-Belova, said in a statement on Friday.

    • Russian artillery and drone attacks on Friday killed three people and damaged an unspecified infrastructure facility, power lines and a gas pipeline in the Dnipropetrovsk and Kherson regions of Ukraine, local officials said. Both regions have come under regular shelling by Russian troops in occupied territory on the eastern bank of the Dnipro River.

    • Ukraine’s presidential chief of staff said he hoped a conference on joint Ukrainian-US weapons production would be held in December in the US, Kyiv’s most important supplier of military assistance. “There was a very important agreement between President Zelenskiy and President Biden,” Andriy Yermak said of the Ukrainian and US leaders. “Next month, I hope, a conference will be held in the United States dedicated to joint [weapons] production of Ukraine and the United States.”

    • A French court rejected an appeal from the Ukrainian government and ruled that Ukrainian billionaire Kostyantyn Zhevago should not be extradited over accusations of embezzlement, a court spokesperson said. Zhevago, who controls London-listed iron pellet producer Ferrexpo, was arrested at a French ski resort in December 2022 at the request of Ukraine, which wants him for alleged embezzlement involving a now-collapsed bank. Zhevago has repeatedly denied any wrongdoing.

    • Russia is under no obligation to say where a Ukrainian volunteer soldier convicted and jailed for trying to kill two civilians is being held, the Kremlin said. Human rights groups have demanded that Russia provide information on Maksym Butkevych, whose family and lawyers say they have been unable to establish his whereabouts since August. Butkevych was arrested last year, when his unit was captured on the frontline, and sentenced in March to 13 years in prison.
    Kitkat
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    Post by Kitkat Sat 11 Nov 2023, 16:53

    Kyiv under attack, mayor says

    For the first time since September, Ukraine’s capital has been the target of a Russian attack.
    Kyiv came under air attack this morning and big explosions were heard, Kyiv mayor Vitali Klitschko said.
    There was no immediate information on if there were any casualties.
    Quotes sign: Strong explosions were heard on in the left bank of the capital. Preliminary, air defence was working against ballistic (missiles).
    Air alerts for Kyiv and a nearby region were announced just minutes before the explosions were heard. City authorities urged residents to stay in shelters.[/quote]


    Ukrainian naval drones sank two small Russian landing boats in Crimea, while troops braced for further Russian assaults in the east, particularly the shattered town of Avdiivka

    Reuters reports.
    The news agency could not independently verify the report of the attack on Vuzka Bay in the west of Crimea, which one Ukrainian military analyst said was a significant strike and loss for Russia.
    There was no immediate comment by Russia, which seized and annexed the Crimea peninsula from Ukraine in 2014 and whose Black Sea Fleet is headquartered in the Crimean city of Sevastopol.
    An initial report from Ukraine’s military intelligence said the two small, amphibious Russian ships had been hit overnight.
    A Friday evening update from Ukraine’s military intelligence agency said the attack had been carried out by naval drones. It identified one landing craft as an Akula class vessel, the other a Serna class.
    The agency said:
    Quotes sign: The results of intelligence conducted on 10th November 2023 near Vuzka Bay in temporarily occupied Crimea show that after an attack by naval drones, two small Russian landing ships have been destroyed
    As a consequence of the attack, both vessels went to the bottom, the Akula straight away and the Serna after attempts to save it.
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    Post by Kitkat Sat 11 Nov 2023, 17:00

    Analysis: Ukraine signals readiness for a long war

    Dan Sabbagh - The Guardian
    Ukraine’s counteroffensive has stalled, with progress on the two principal axes on the southern front modest since it began on 4 June. Kyiv’s forces have advanced about 10km south of Velyka Novosilka and 9km south of Orikhiv and there appears no prospect of a breakthrough as the weather turns.
    Last week, the reality was acknowledged by Gen Valerii Zaluzhnyi, the commander-in-chief of Kyiv’s military. “Just like in the first world war, we have reached the level of technology that puts us into a stalemate,” he said in an interview with the Economist, while in a related essay he added that the war, after nearly 21 months of fighting, “is gradually moving to a positional form”.

    Ukraine has been unable to break through dense Russian minefields, now laid to a depth of 15 to 20km, Zaluzhnyi said. The Zemledeliye remote truck mine laying system can lay down football fields of mines far faster than dismounted Ukrainian sappers can remove them, and the fear is that with more time Russia can develop a system of deep trenches beyond its existing fortified positions.
    “We all hoped we would make more progress than we have,” said Yuriy Sak, a former adviser to Ukraine’s defence ministry. “By now we were hoping we would be in control of Tokmak,” a strategic town on the road to Melitopol, which still lies 20km south of the furthest Ukrainian advance. Breaking Russia’s land bridge at Melitopol would require an advance another 70km south-west.


    Russian train derails after ‘unauthorised interference’

    Trains carrying cargo in Russia’s Ryazan region were derailed on Saturday morning because of “unauthorised interference”, the Associated Press reported Moscow’s rail operator MZhD as saying.
    Russian law enforcement said 15 train carriages had been derailed south-east of the capital, while MZhD reported the number as 19.
    Several Russian media outlets also reported that an explosion was heard in the vicinity on Saturday morning, although this could not be independently verified by AP.
    Russian officials have previously blamed pro-Ukrainian saboteurs for several attacks on the country’s railway system since Moscow invaded Ukraine in February 2022, although no group has claimed responsibility for the damage.
    Kyiv has not commented on Saturday’s attacks.
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    Post by Kitkat Sat 11 Nov 2023, 17:13

    Train with 19 wagons derails in Russia due to interference by unauthorised persons

    Roman Petrenko - Ukrainska Pravda
    Russian invasion of Ukraine: Day 626 1d45783-photo-2023-11-11-08-46-05--1-
    Stock photo: 112

    A freight train has derailed in Russia "because of interference by unauthorised persons".


    Source: RIA Novosti, a Kremlin-aligned Russian news outlet, with reference to the Moscow Railway; 112 TV channel

    Details: It is reported that 19 wagons were reportedly derailed "due to the interference of unauthorised persons" in Russia’s Ryazan Oblast.

    The authorities claimed that this did not affect the movement of passenger trains, but there are no details.

    Update: TV channel 112 published photos from the scene. According to them, there was an explosion before the incident. The railway track was damaged, but no one was killed.
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    Post by Kitkat Sat 11 Nov 2023, 17:20

    Russian troops enter outskirts of Stepove near Avdiivka

    Ivashkiv Olena - Ukrainska Pravda

    Russian troops conducted an offensive near Avdiivka on 10 November, the results of which have not been confirmed, while Russian military bloggers claimed that Russian troops had entered the outskirts of Stepove (3 kilometres northwest of Avdiivka) and were continuing to fight in the area.


    Source: Institute for the Study of War (ISW)

    Details: A Kremlin-linked military blogger added that Russian forces had also taken up positions on the railway line, allowing Russian forces to make tactical gains near Stepove.  According to another source, Russian troops are trying to encircle Avdiivka, thus depriving Ukrainian forces of the opportunity to hold positions in the rear areas on the Avdiivka front.
    Russian invasion of Ukraine: Day 626 Ea09a90-avdiivka-and-donetsk-city-battle-map-draft-november-10,-2023

    Ukrainian forces conducted limited ground attacks on the eastern (left) bank of Kherson Oblast on 10 November. A Russian military blogger claimed that Ukrainian forces attacked near Poima (10 kilometres southeast of Kherson and 4 kilometres from the Dnipro River), Pishchanivka (13 kilometres southeast of Kherson and 3 kilometres from the Dnipro River), Pidstepne (18 kilometres east of Kherson and 4 kilometres from the Dnipro River), and Krynok (30 kilometres northeast of Kherson and 2 kilometres from the Dnipro River).

    A well-known Russian military blogger claimed that Ukrainian forces had established a partial foothold south of Krynky on 9 November, but had subsequently retreated because of Russian attacks.
    Russian sources claimed that gaps in Russian air defence had allowed Ukrainian forces to operate with tactical attack aircraft near Krynky.

    Geolocation footage released on 10 November indicated that Russian forces had advanced south of Krynky.

    On 10 November, Russian troops continued their offensive on the Kupiansk-Svatove-Kreminna axis and recently made minor confirmed progress. Geolocation footage released on 7 and 9 November shows that Russian troops have made minor advances southwest of Petropavlivka (7 kilometres east of Kupiansk).

    In addition, on 10 November, Ukrainian forces continued their offensive on the southern flank of Bakhmut and confirmed minor advances.

    To quote the ISW’s Key Takeaways on 10 November: 

    • Ukraine’s Defence Intelligence stated that Ukrainian surface attack drones sank two Russian Black Sea Fleet (BSF) small landing ships in occupied Crimea on 10 November.

    • Russian milbloggers continue to overreact to the Russian failure to push Ukrainian forces from positions in the east (left) bank of Kherson Oblast.

    • Russian forces are launching significantly smaller and less frequent drone strikes against Ukraine in the past month than in previous months ahead of an anticipated large-scale winter strike campaign.

    • Russian President Vladimir Putin again visited the Southern Military District (SMD) headquarters in Rostov-on-Don on 10 November, possibly in an effort to portray himself as an involved wartime leader ahead of the upcoming presidential elections in March 2024.

    • Russian President Vladimir Putin will reportedly hold his annual live "Direct Line" forum and annual press conference in tandem on 14 December, and the event will likely serve to promote his presidential campaign.

    • Ukrainian Ombudsman Dmytro Lubinets announced on 10 November that Bohdan Yermokhin, a 17-year-old Ukrainian whom Russian authorities forcibly deported from occupied Mariupol to Russia and attempted to conscript, will return to Ukraine.

    • The United Kingdom-led Operation Interflex has achieved its goal of training 30,000 Ukrainian soldiers between June 2022 and December 2023.

    • Russian forces conducted offensive operations on 10 November along the Kupiansk-Svatove-Kreminna line, near Bakhmut, near Avdiivka, west and southwest of Donetsk City, in western Donetsk Oblast, in the Donetsk-Zaporizhzhia Oblast border area, and in western Zaporizhzhia Oblast and advanced in some areas.

    • Russian forces continue to struggle with low morale and poor discipline.

    • Ukrainian Telegram channel Mariupol Resistance and Ukrainian Mariupol City Advisor Petro Andriushchenko reported on 10 November that Ukrainian partisans detonated a police car in occupied Mariupol, Donetsk Oblast.
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    Post by Kitkat Sat 11 Nov 2023, 17:38

    Russia-appointed mayor of Luhansk mysteriously disappears

    UAWire
    Russia-appointed mayor of Luhansk Manolis Pilavov has mysteriously disappeared.
    He was appointed mayor  in 2014.
    The residents of Luhansk have not been notified of any changes in the city administration.
    However, the information about the disappearance of the "mayor" appeared  on social networks on November 11.
    "Where did Manolis go? He has been the "head" of the city since December 2, 2014," the local social network users asked.
    On the website of the Luhansk  city administration, Yana Pashchenko is now listed as the mayor. All information about Pilavov has been deleted, as if this person never existed. His fate is unknown.
    Just a few months ago, in the summer of 2023, Pilavov received an award from the Kremlin. The reward was personally presented to him by Deputy Head of the Presidential Administration of the Russian Federation, Sergei Kirienko. 
    According to the Ukrainian project Peacemaker, Pilavov had previously had problems with the Russian authorities.
    "In the 'LPR,' he is considered one of Plotnitsky's closest accomplices (former leader of the Luhansk People’s Republic). Pilavov was  detained earlier by Russian military for manipulations with humanitarian aid and even spent seven days under arrest in the basement of the building of the regional SBU administration. However, he was released after Plotnitsky's intervention. He was also accused of misappropriating canned food intended for kindergartens in Luhansk," the resource reported.


    Russian forces kill 2 civilians in Toretsk: woman walking and man on his bike

    Kateryna Tyshchenko - Ukrainska Pravda

    Two civilians were killed in a Russian attack on Toretsk (Donetsk Oblast) on Saturday, 11 November.

    Source: Donetsk Oblast Prosecutor’s Office
    Quote: "The Russian army carried out another high-impact attack on the city of Toretsk on 11 November 2023, most likely deploying artillery.
    Enemy shells hit a residential neighbourhood, an area where multi-storey apartment blocks are located near private residential houses.
    Two people were caught in enemy fire: a 61-year-old woman who was walking outside and a man, 65, who was riding his bike. Their injuries were incompatible with life."
    Details: Residential buildings’ and outbuildings’ windows and doors shattered in the explosion and floor slabs and roofs were destroyed.
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    Post by Kitkat Sat 11 Nov 2023, 17:45

    Power outages in six oblasts due to Russian strikes, substation ablaze in Sumy Oblast

    Economichna Pravda

    A Russian attack on Sumy Oblast has damaged a substation, but the electricity generated by Ukrainian power plants is sufficient to meet the consumers’ needs.


    Source: press service of Ukraine’s Energy Ministry

    Quote: "A substation equipment caught fire yesterday (10 November – Ekonomichna Pravda) due to an attack on one of the border districts of Sumy Oblast. There were no casualties. Firefighters put out the flames," the statement said.

    Details: The energy ministry also provided more information on the situation in the power sector as of 11 November.

    The aftermath of the bombardment. A 6kV power line in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast went down due to the attack, leaving over 1,100 consumers cut off from the power supply. In addition, a low-pressure gas pipeline in the town of Nikopol was damaged during the bombardment, leaving some residents without gas.

    The situation in the frontline areas. A total of 12 settlements in Donetsk Oblast lost power on 10 November due to hostilities.
    A 10kV overhead line is out of service in Kharkiv Oblast due to hostilities; one settlement was partially cut off from the power supply, and over 1,600 consumers lost power.
    Russian strikes on Chernihiv Oblast have cut off power in 18 settlements, and over 2,500 consumers in Sumy Oblast remain disconnected.
    In general, some consumers in Donetsk, Zaporizhzhia, Sumy, Chernihiv, Kharkiv, and Kherson oblasts remain without electricity. Over 3,600 consumers have been reconnected to the power supply over the past 24 hours.

    Power generation. The power generating facilities are in regular operation. The stockpiles of coal and fuel oil are sufficient for uninterrupted operation of the plants.
    The agency said the amount of power generated is sufficient to fully meet the needs of consumers and industrial needs.

    Background: On the evening of 7 November, the Russians opened fire on a thermal power plant belonging to DTEK Energy, Ukraine's main energy producer, located in a pre-frontline oblast.

      Current date/time is Sat 27 Apr 2024, 09:59